As July continues to tick by, we are getting closer and closer to the end of the offseason and the long-awaited start of the 2022 season.
For the Tigers, that means the first look at new head coach Brian Kelly, who was hired this offseason after a 12-year stint at Notre Dame, where he is the winningest coach in program history. LSU has reached a nadir the past two seasons after winning a national title in 2019, but with a new coach and a promising roster (albeit with some questions), hopes are high this fall.
The schedule is tough because it’s every fall when you compete in SEC West, but ESPN’s Football Power Index likes LSU’s chances of a solid finish. The FPI is high on the Tigers overall, ranking them 10th in the nation at the start of the season.
Here’s how ESPN’s analytics system thinks every game will play out for Kelly’s team this fall.
September 4 vs. Florida State Seminoles (at New Orleans)
Doug Engle / Ocala Star-Banner
Win probability: 71.0%
Counting Running Records: 1-0
September 10 vs. Southern Jaguars
Tim Heitman – USA TODAY Sports
Win probability: 99.5%
Counting Running Records: 2-0
September 17 vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs
Justin Ford – USA TODAY Sports
Win probability: 68.2%
Counting Running Records: 3-0
September 24 vs. New Mexico Lobos
Brian Losness – USA TODAY Sports
Win probability: 98.6%
Counting Running Records: 4-0
October 1 at Auburn Tigers
Photo by Jonathan Bachman/Getty Images
Win probability: 42.6%
Counting Running Records: 4-1
October 8 vs. Tennessee Volunteers
Photo by Brett Carlsen/Getty Images
Win probability: 67.7%
Counting Running Records: 5-1
October 15 at Florida Gators
Stephen Lew – USA TODAY Sports
Win probability: 55.3%
Counting Running Records: 6-1
October 22 vs. Ole Miss Rebels
Syndication: The Knoxville News-Sentinel
Win probability: 63.0%
Counting Running Records: 7-1
Nov. 5 vs. Alabama Crimson Tide
Butch Dill – USA TODAY Sports
Win probability: 18.5%
Counting Running Records: 7-2
Nov. 12 at Arkansas Razorbacks
Nelson Chenault – USA TODAY Sports
Win probability: 54.2%
Counting Running Records: 8-2
Nov. 19 vs. UAB Blazers
Peter Thomas – USA TODAY Sports
Win probability: 88.4%
Counting Running Records: 9-2
Nov. 26 at Texas A&M Aggies
Thomas Shea – USA TODAY Sports
Win probability: 44.5%
Counting Running Records: 9-3
